Banks in the Danger Zone

America’s credit crisis continues to sour. Onborrowers expected to default on their loans is
February 5, 2008, the stock market had its worstexpected to rise. Banks are largely suffering due to
decline in nearly a year. Driven down by shrinkage inbig bucks loans that aren’t being paid back.
service industries, the S&P 500 stock market indexInvestors are feeling the pain. On January 30 th the
dropped by 3.2%. Economists predict that in the nextS&P threatened to downgrade over 8,000 bonds and
year, American banks will suffer great losses, withCDOs, because financial institution’s losses are
direct consequences to you, the customer. Be on theposed to double in the next year to an immense
watch for how the nationwide credit crisis affects$265 billion.
you and your assets.Although it is unlikely your bank will claim bankruptsy,
If you are applying for a loan, educate yourself firstother consequences are mounting. 70% of loan
about the stability of the bank, prior to committingofficers expect the quality of their credit card and
yourself. In these dangerous economic times, youother consumer-loan portfolios to become more
need to be sure your money is safe and that youtroubled in the next year, according to the Federal
are getting a competitive interest rate. Ask yourReserve’s survey. Wachovia, a substantial
bank frank questions about how they plan to surviveNorth Carolina based bank, fell to $51 million from $2.3
in the long term. Also ask how they determine riskbillion, mostly because of losses on residential
decisioning and what they use for loan originationproperty and car loans.
solutions.With the real estate market flailing, regional and local
Educate yourself about the stock market and thebanks alike are more hesitant than ever to give out
current economic pickle in which America finds“construction loans.” If you were hoping
herself. Banks are stingier than ever about giving outto build your home and obtain a loan for it, be aware
loans, and it is in your best interest to know why,of rising interest loans and setbacks. Listen to what
instead of assuming your loan request was deniedthe experts are saying: At the end of January 2008,
because of that coffee stain on your tie.John Dugan, the Controller of Currency, stated that
On February 4 th the Federal Reserve published itsone-third of community banks currently have
most recent quarterly survey of bank-lendingcommercial-property loans that are over three times
officers, proving that credit troubles are increasing.their capitol. Ouch. He also predicted an increase in
The Federal Reserve stated that many banks havebank failures and loan-loss reserves.
tightened the belt on lenders, with harsher lendingFinancial regulators and bankers should combine
standards and higher rates on loans.forces to find a solution for these doomsday
Do economists foresee that capital markets will headpredictions. In the meantime, keep these facts in
to sunnier times in 2008? Not so much. With themind when you are applying for your next bank loan,
recession over our heads, the percentage ofand know that risk decisioning is tougher than ever.